PROTECTION 2012 (January 2012 Commentary)
The volitile Pre-Presidential Election year of 2011 has come to a close, and it managed to work its way back by years end to price levels seen beforehand in February 2011 in the DJIA.
Additional price gains in 2012 to levels achieved beforehand in April 2011 are possible this year; however, ProtectVEST anticipates a significant market correction to begin forming shortly after this 2012 January Options Expiration Date.
Presidential Election years are historically and systematically poor "Reward-to-Risk' price ratio years, so ProtectVEST once again advises well-managed protection going into the Spring of 2012 and well beyond.
Significant short oportunities should manifest themselves this year.
And, once again, in the MDPP Forecast for this year, implementation of 'effective full net portfolio insurance hedges' and 'full net portfolio shorting instruments' occasionally added 'in basket' to otherwise general portfolio open long risk assumptions (within diversified major market baskets of securities) may be considered an especially valuable strategy to employ this year, particularly for more sophisticated, flexible, and nimble market participants and investors.
The Quarterly EchoVector (QEV) Annual EchoVector (AEV) Presidential Cycle EchoVector (PCEV) Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (RCCEV)
PROTECTION 2011 (February 2011 Commentary)
ProtectVEST considers 2011 as the likely start of a significant price correction in the US major market large cap stock composite indexes from their lofty gains achieved since the index lows of March 2009.
Therefore, ProtectVEST's is calling for Protective Portfolio Positioning for any portfolios exposed to the Major Market since the DJ30IA acquired the price level of 12,100 in February, about $121 on the DIA ETF equivalency basis.
FedQE1 and QE2 will finished in 2011, and so too will their stimuli to near-term stock price appreciation and support. The end to these Federal Reserve actions within the current phase of The EchoVectorVEST Presidential Cycle, coupled with the possibility of a shortened EchoVectorVEST Regime Change Cycle to four years, removes most any advantage to holding major market securities in typically diversified aggregates going forward without full portfolio exposure insurance protections active that would protect the gains acquired by reaching the level of 12,100 on the DJ30IA
The reward-to-risk ratio 'to the long side' for this 2011 year FORWARD (AND WELL INTO NEXT YEAR), in our view and opinion, appears Cyclically Uninviting to investors (without the utilization and employment of optimum composite price level management 'attaining, capturing, and insuring portfolio value' protocols actively being employed. Negative or "sideways at best" price action in the major market is likely.
ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST MDPP sees major risk to the US large cap composite stock market going forward into MAY 2011, with a moderate bounce back in July, but with even increased risk going forward into August.
In the MDPP Forecast, implementation of 'effective full net portfolio insurance hedges' and 'full net portfolio shorting instruments' occasionally added 'in basket' to otherwise general portfolio open long risk assumptions (within diversified major market baskets of securities) may be considered an especially valuable strategy to employ this year, particularly for more sophisticated, flexible, and nimble market participants and investors.
AN ILLUSTRATIVE METAPHOR...
ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST, MDPP
(Protection in the Rain)
To spend something like 'eleven quarters polishing up your clients shoes to a high premium-level shine,' only to allow their shoes 'to deteriorate' once again 'on the street,' especially on 'the trek' through yet another 'Presidential election year storm and cycle' and all the 'storm puddles' typically found then, is demoralizing for both you and your clients, and can be devastating to their planned financial goals and their trust.
You can help protect and secure that 'valuable buff and shine' you achieved on your 'clients' portfolio values,' and also protect the effects of that spent WORK-TIME you both invested so ardently and diligently to work up and acquire that 'high premium-level shine!"
(And your clients will love you for this!)
Protect them with ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST.
ProtectVest can help you design 'just the right boots,' just the 'right cover' for you, for each of your clients, and/or for all of your clients in aggregate as well, to help protect your portfolios against the price effects of these 'rainy days and these puddles,' as you might choose!
And The Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots Forecast Model and ALERT Paradigm can ALERT you to its forecast 'market weather,' including potentially detected 'incoming rain clouds' so you and your clients might not be caught off guard and get 'portfolio soaked' when these approaching adversities may otherwise be difficult for you to see.
(ProtectVEST can even ALERT you to upcoming 'rainy mornings, rainy afternoons, rainy days, and rainy weeks detected by its forecast model and methodology in what are the otherwise clear and sunny seasons as well!)
And you can 'put on' your tailored cover, applying it at moments and at times that you elect!
Having moving your clients 'through the storms covered,' and when others are spending their time (once again) cleaning up their relatively deteriorated shoes, you will be able earn your clients 'additional shine instead,' with the saved time, saved loss, and saved energy, and from their better overall position.
And your clients will love you for this too.
And, in the meantime, your clients can continue to enjoy the security and advantage of their still just as buff shoes all the while. Even as they had through the storm. You, and they, will be that much of and farther ahead of the Average, who, unfortunately, have yet again, found themselves back in the 'deteriorating rain and puddles', with all their full uncovered effects, and are being uncomfortably consoled, "Don't worry, eventually the sunshine will dry out you shoes. We will try to buff them back up once again."
And your clients will vividly see this difference, as they always do, and get to live in it.
And will love you for this, too.
And then they likely will eagerly and happily 'spread the word' on what you have done for them, in this critical difference.
And you will love them for that.
Walk in these shoes!
ProtectVEST will show you how. Take the next step...
Through the fully applied financial physics and engineering of ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST, ProtectVEST can even prepare you and your clients to 'tap and convert the energy ' brought in 'these rainy periods' into 'even higher buffed shines' as well, making that matter also, and added, to your clients overall portfolio gains.
ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST can prepare you and show you how.
ProtectVEST And AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
"We're keeping watch for you."
"Those with the eyes to see, let them see..."
AS OF TUESDAY MORNING, 16 AUG 11 9AMEST
The major market in high cap stocks has continued its recent price stabilization, and is presently holding up. However, it is already trading trading in the Upper 2ND Level Forecast Recovery Price Range Area generated by the EchoVectorVEST MDPP Forecast and Alert Model.
The ProtectVEST/AdvanceVEST 'look' (or 'focus') is for QEV and 2QEV EBD signal weakness to occur this week, likely in the second half, and coming, more precisely, around option expiration.
SEE EASYGUIDECHARTS BUTTON
The two forward and highlighted and now ensuing periods beginning with Red-block (and each lasting about a week) present the most significant challenge to the price recovery off recent lows earlier in the month. These red signal blocks could, in part, contribute to the generation of an ACTIONABLE ALERT issued within the MDPP Forecast and Alert Model.
An additionally forecasted move in ST price re-strengthening in gold came in yesterday.
EasyGuideChart: DIA Equivalency Basis. We have entered the QEV 2QEV ETD caution area, highlighted by the yellow horizontal bars.
Below is an EchoVectorVEST EasyGuideChart illustrating clearly the MDPP's Regime Change Cycle EchoVector ($XMI basis), and the efficacy of the MDPP Presidential Cycle EchoVectors. Note how the green 'parallel and ascending' Presidential Cycle EchoVectors (PCEVs) also remain intact and working as well within the highlighted timeframe of the Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (RCCEV). Note the key price support in 2010 in the RCCEV as well.
Below is an EchoVectorVEST EasyGuideChart, $XMI basis, clearly illustrating the efficacy of Presidential Cycle EchoVectors. Another entire webpage at the ProtectVest website is dedicated to illustrating the current PCEVs generated within the MDPP Forecast Model. Below, isolating on the horizontal 'green bar period' within the Presidential EchoVector, strong price ascension and then derivative toppiness in May can be viewed. Note the green PCEV parallel ascending vector. Note also the ascension start dates and the blue blue EV horizontal baseline price start on those start dates. Additionally note the corresponding price levels, May 2007 to May 2011. ("Sell in May and go away" is again also apparent.) The two year long purple/blue box illustrates a CCEV (Congressional Cycle EchoVector) period. It also depicts an intersect period with the EchoVectorVEST MDPP RCCEV. Also see the powerful reverse head and shoulders pattern in the blue box.
The third EchoVectorVest EasyGuideChart frames this PCEV GuideChart within an EVV MDPP Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (RCCEV) illustration.
The EchoVectorVEST Forecast Model indicates clear EV topping activity present, as illustrated in the EasyGuideChart below. On the QEVPEVs, see the 'towards flat prices, then to the downside' pivoting activity in prices as indicated by the differences in the yellow, red, and blue dotted PEVs slopes. Note also the precipitous seasonal toppiness in both May 2010 and May 2011, and in the May Annual EchoVector, AEV (in green). Hence the Wall street adage, "Sell in May and go away." The brown boxes within the EchoVectorVEST EasyGuideChart illustrates the regular and successive weak QEV price periods (net sideways or down in period) observable starting with last May. The blue PEV indicates where market prices can 'pivot' and the 'fall' too in the short run on the $XMI basis, and as 'baked into the cake' within the of the MDPP Forecast Model.
Review the additional EchoVectorVest EasyGuideCharts below for an illustration of ProtectVest's General Outlook...
ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
A simple quote from Wikipedia for our more 'financial physics' oriented market participants:
"The simplest examples of a phase line are the trivial phase lines, corresponding to functions ƒ(y) which do not change sign: if ƒ(y) = 0, every point is a stable equilibrium (y does not change); if ƒ(y) > 0 for all y, then y is always increasing, and if ƒ(y) < 0 then y is always decreasing.
Convergence: Aside from an orthoclinical component in geological science, a metaphysical apeoria in the contemplation of bodies, a selective candidate in analyzing linear complexes, the line phase distinguishes a significant identity of typical systems that relate to theoretical or concrete data.
The simplest non-trivial examples are the exponential growth model/decay (one unstable/stable equilibrium) and the logistic growth model (two equilibria, one stable, one unstable).
Classification of critical points: A critical point can be classified as stable, unstable, or semi-stable (equivalently, sink, source, or node), by inspection of its neighbouring arrows. if both arrows point toward the critical point, it is stable (a sink): nearby solutions will converge asymptotically to the critical point, and the solution is stable under small perturbations, meaning that if the solution is disturbed, it will return to (converge to) the solution.
If both arrows point away from the critical point, it is unstable (a source): nearby solutions will diverge from the critical point, and the solution is unstable under small perturbations, meaning that if the solution is disturbed, it will not return to the solution. Otherwise – if one arrow points towards the critical point, and one points away – it is semi-stable (a node): it is stable in one direction (where the arrow points towards the point), and unstable in the other direction (where the arrow points away from the point)."
ProtectVest and AdvanceVest by EchoVectorVest, Divisions of Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots, Bradford Market Research and Analytics
Is Currently A FREE Educational, Forecast Opinion, and Forecast Methodology and Related Strategies Discussion Resource and Forum
"We're keeping watch for you."
WHY PROTECTVEST: AN ILLUSTRATIVE METAPHOR FROM 2008
Protection for INCLIMATE MARKET WEATHER...
... to spend something like eleven quarters 'polishing up your clients financial shoes' to a 'high premium-level shine,' only to allow their 'shoes' (portfolios) to deteriorate once again 'on the street,' especially through a trek through yet 'another Presidential election year storm' and its cycle,' and all the potential 'financia puddles' they could step in then, can be demoralizing for both you and your clients, and can be very adverse to their planned financial goals, and to their trust in you...
You can help protect and secure the value of your clients portfolios, the value of its 'buff and shine already achieved', and protect achievements you and they have earned in TIME and WORK to acquire this 'premium-level shine!"
(And your clients will love you for this!)
And ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST, MDPP can help!
ProtectVest can help you design 'just the right boots,' just the 'right cover' for you, for each of your clients, and/or for all of your clients in aggregate, to help protect their portfolios against the price effects of these 'rainy, inclimate market days and storms' and these 'deteriorating financial puddles.'
And The Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots Forecast Model and ALERT Paradigm can ALERT you to its powerful forecasted 'market weather,' potentially detecting these 'incoming financial rain clouds and storms' so you can better prepare your clients portfolios for them, You and your clients are then less likely to get 'caught off guard' and get 'portfolio soaked', when these inclimate times appear; but instead have cover.
(For extremely active and responding mangement regimes, ProtectVEST can also provide select ALERTS on upcoming 'rainy mornings, rainy afternoons, rainy days, and even rainy weeks (for professional intraday trade-desks and swing traders) detected by its forecast model and alert paradigm... in challenging seasons, and in what are the otherwise 'clear and sunny market seasons' as too!)
And you can 'PUT ON' your tailored COVERS, applying them at the moments, and at the times, within the included forecast alerts focus periods, that you elect!
ProtectVEST can help you more effectively move your clients' portfolios through these 'financial storms and inclimacies' covered, so when other managers are spending their time (once again) cleaning up their uncovered clients relatively deteriorated shoes (portfilios), you will instead be able earn your clients evermore 'additional portfolio value and shine,' with the saved time, saved loss, and saved energy, and from their better protected, preserved, and more actively managed portfolio position value.
And your clients will love you for this too!
And, in the meantime, your clients can continue to enjoy the security and advantage of their buff shoes all the while. Even as they had through the storm period. You, and they, will be that much farther ahead of the "Average", who, unfortunately, have yet again, found themselves back in the effects of 'deteriorating market weather and puddles', and may once again be faced with being uncomfortably consoled, "Don't worry, eventually the 'sunshine' will dry out you shoes. Things will come back. And we will try to buff them back up once again." While others are spending valuable market time 'coming back', you and your clients will instead now be positioned to be moving "ever further ahead."
And your clients will vividly see this comparable difference (as they always do) and love you for it, and be able to live in its benefit too!
And they likely will eagerly and happily 'spread the word' on what you have done for them, with this critical difference.
And you will love them for that.
Walk in these shoes with ProtectVEST! ProtectVEST will show you how. Take the next step...
For extremely active and responsive mangement regimes, AdvanceVEST can also provide Select Focus Opportunity ALERTS on upcoming mornings, afternoons, days, and weeks (for professional intraday trade-desks and swing traders) detected by its forecast model and alert paradigm... also in both challenging seasons and in clear and sunny market seasons as well!)
Through the fully applied financial physics and engineering and advanced risk-management ontology of ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST, you may be able to help advance your clients' and your ability to 'tap and convert the energy from these dynamic changing conditions' brought to you, in both the good and inclimate market weather, to ever more appreciable portfolio value gains, and 'higher portfolio value buff shines,', enhancing your clients overall portfolio value ever further, and offering them evidence on how your management has "further outperformed the street."
ProtectVEST And AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST MDPP* can help show you how.
*An applied methodology seeking to enhance major market exposed portfolio value security, and overall portfolio value performance and return, through the application and utilization of specialized derivatives as 'portfolio value insurancing hedges' when also combined with the power of the Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots Forecast Model and Alert Paradigm* and the ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST Active Advanced Risk Management Trade Technology* and the Active Advanced Management Position Value Optimization Method*.
ProtectVEST And AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST, MDPP
DIVISIONS OF MOTION DYNAMICS AND PRECISION PIVOTS
"We're keeping watch for you"
"Those with the eyes to see, let them see..."
FOLLOWING FROM ECHOVECTOVEST MDPP
Effectively Employing the Power of
1. Leading Edge Technical Analysis, Behavioral Economics, and Financial Physics Forecast Model Methodology, and Applied Active Advanced Analytical Techniques,
2. Leading Edge Active Advanced Position and Risk Management Approaches and Techniques,
3. Leading Edge Information Processing and Structured Esoteric Trade
To Help Lead the Way Towards Financial Success in the 21ST Century.
Enhancing major market exposed portfolio value security and overall portfolio value performance and return through the application and utilization of specialized derivatives as 'portfolio value insurancing hedges' when also combined with the power of the Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots Forecast Model and Alert Paradigm and the ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST MDPP Precision Pivots Active Advanced Position and Risk Management Trade Technology and the Precision Pivots Active Advanced Position Management Capital Gain Return Optimization Methodolgy.
"Positioning for change, staying ahead of the curve, we're keep watch for you!"
ProtectVest and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST MDPP
Providing Forecasting and Trade Management Technology, Analysis, and Education Consistent With...
1. More Than Doubling the Portfolio Position Value of The Major Market (Dow 30 Industrials, DIA ETF) From Mid-2007 to Early 2009!...
2. More Than Doubling Again from Early 2009 through 2010!...
3. Then More Than Doubling Again in 2011!...
4. Then More Than Tripling Again in 2012, and Then Again in 2013...
5. And Then More Than Tripling Again in 2014, Then Again in 2015, and Then Again in 2016!...
PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS.
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